KP Threshold & Odds
Kp 9+ minimum
Magnetic latitude: 47.6°
Strong activity helps. Coastlines and higher ground work well.
Aurora is unlikely in Medford right now (0%). Check back when geomagnetic activity increases.
Aurora reaches Medford during strong storms at 47.8° magnetic latitude. Monitor for KP 7+ events that push the auroral oval southward.
Kp 9+ minimum
Magnetic latitude: 47.6°
Strong activity helps. Coastlines and higher ground work well.
Higher odds to the north of Medford.
Higher magnetic latitude = better aurora visibility. Your location's magnetic latitude determines how often auroras appear overhead.
Kp measures global magnetic disturbance. Higher Kp = stronger auroras visible at lower latitudes.
Clear skies are essential for aurora viewing. Clouds block your view of the northern lights. The percentage shows cloud coverage (0% = clear skies, 100% = overcast).
Bright moonlight can wash out faint auroras. New moon provides the darkest skies for optimal viewing.
Darker skies are essential for aurora viewing. The sun must be below the horizon for auroras to be visible.
This calendar shows likelihood trends based on aurora activity, darkness, aurora zone, moonlight, and historical data. Clouds are excluded due to low predictability. Use it to pick promising nights, then confirm with the 72h forecast closer to date.
This calendar shows how often aurora was observed here by week across the year. Colors reflect historical intensity: greener months had more aurora nights, grey had little or none. Use it to plan trips around the strongest months, then confirm exact nights with the 72h forecast.
Aurora alerts, cloud cover, and forecast context for your location. Check current conditions before viewing.


Compare a few locations with higher magnetic latitude, or search the full US directory.
Browse all US locations or see the Oregon forecast.
Occasional aurora viewing at 49.5° magnetic latitude. Strong geomagnetic storms (KP 7+) can push northern lights south to this location.
Located at 49.8° MLAT, aurora requires significant storm activity. KP 7+ events several times per year bring northern lights within view.
Located at 51.0° MLAT with decent aurora opportunities. Geomagnetic storms with KP 6+ can produce visible displays. Monitor forecasts for storm alerts.
Planning a trip? Best months across Oregon →
Month-by-month clear-night numbers for Oregon, and where Medford sits among them.
How Aurora Forecast USA WorksOur data sources, 5-factor algorithm, and update frequency explained.
Aurora Borealis ForecastLive aurora forecast overview for the entire United States.
Dark-Sky SitesTracked dark-sky locations by state, with Bortle class and drive distance.
Use Kp 9+ as a planning threshold for Medford, based on its magnetic latitude. Aurora visibility also requires darkness, suitable sky conditions, and current geomagnetic activity.
Choose a dark location with an unobstructed view of the northern horizon. Check current local conditions before travelling, because clouds and light pollution can prevent viewing.
Check the current forecast for Medford. A Kp value at or above Kp 9+ is only one condition; darkness and local cloud cover also affect whether aurora can be seen.
Compare aurora chances across cities and get alerts for all your planned destinations.
For brighter shows consider Fairbanks